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Read previewThe push by US businesses to make more stuff in America has an ongoing challenge: It's hard to find workers. Ulbrich says this stands in sharp contrast to Mexico, whose growing manufacturing base could entice companies to make supply chain investments there, rather than in the US. Even as the pandemic-era labor shortage has eased, the demand for construction and factory workers has continued to exceed supply. Mexico's median age is roughly 30, he added — compared to nearly 40 in China — which has contributed to a strong labor supply. Compared to Mexico, manufacturing in the US would likely offer businesses reduced supply chain disruptions and lower transportation costs.
Persons: , Christian Ulbrich, Ulbrich, Matt Turner, Biden, Houthi, Tesla, Susan Golicic, Andres Abadia, Abadia, Luis Torres, Colorado State's Golicic, Golicic Organizations: Service, Business, Economic, General Motors, Intel, Companies, Ford, Reuters, Colorado State University, US, Pantheon Macroeconomics, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Locations: America, Mexico, Ukraine, Taiwan, Canada, China, Asia, shoring, San Antonio, Tennessee, Alabama, Colorado
Mexico is now America's top trade partner thanks to US-China tensions and "nearshoring." AdvertisementAdvertisementMexico's infrastructure is not readyBeing a more attractive trade partner to the US is one thing. China is now Mexico's largest trading partner globally, and Mexico is already China's second-largest trade partner in Latin America. China's Foreign Direct Investment in Mexico is still small (about 1% of Mexico's Foreign Direct Investment) but it is its fastest-growing source of outside investment. If Mexico's economy is going to surge, it needs to be more than just a middleman.
Persons: Luis Torres, , Tesla, JULIO CESAR AGUILAR, Xi Jinping, Lintao Zhang, Kearney, Gerardo Esquivel Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve Bank of, Foreign, Investment, Bloomberg, Getty, Publishing Locations: Mexico, China, Wall, Silicon, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Monterrey, Nuevo Leon, Nuevo León, Latin America, Yantai, Shandong Province, Mexican, United States
The US is importing fewer goods from China, as supply chains shift away from the East Asian country. Goods imported from China into the US made up 14.6% of all imports in the 12 months through July, per a Bloomberg analysis. This is the lowest share of Chinese goods imported to the US since 2006. Mexico's share of goods imported into the US hit a record high of 15% in the 12 months through July, while Vietnam's share was 3.7%, just off a record high reached in 2022, per Bloomberg. At almost 16% share of the total trade, Mexico remained the US' top trading partner in July.
Persons: Donald Trump, It's, that's, Luis Torres, Torres Organizations: East, . Goods, Bloomberg, Service, Goods, Census Department, Bureau, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Minth, Binzhou, Piston Locations: China, Wall, Silicon, Washington, Beijing, Mexico, Vietnam, Canada, US
US imports from China are down this year, and direct investment in China is a sliver of the US GDP. However, William Lee, the Milken Institute's chief economist, told Insider China's economic stumble might not be all bad for the US. Meanwhile, Chinese imports of US goods, which may continue to slow, amounted to less than 1% of the US GDP, suggesting a reduction in Chinese imports wouldn't drastically harm the US economy. In addition, China's slowing economy has already chipped away at some American companies' revenues, including DuPont's and Danaher's. AdvertisementAdvertisementThough China's economy has been plagued by a number of crises, including low consumer confidence, many Americans may not have to worry about the downturn hurting their wallets.
Persons: Joe Biden, Janet Yellen, William Lee, Milken, Lee, Paul Krugman, , Luis Torres, it's Organizations: Service, Milken Institute's, US, New York Times, Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, Bank of England, European Central Bank, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas Locations: China, Wall, Silicon, United States, Ukraine, Russia, Europe, Vietnam, India, Mexico, Hong Kong, Canada, American
Mexico overtook Canada as the US' top trading partner at the start of 2023. US trade with China has been edging lower since 2018, except for a spike during the pandemic. Mexico became US' top trading partner at the start of 2023US's trade with major partners as percentage of total US trade. Canada was the US' top trading partner since at least 2000 before being overtaken by China in 2014. "Mexico's expanding manufacturing base has offered an alternative to producing in China," Torres wrote in the note.
Persons: Trump, Donald Trump, China wasn't, Luis Torres, Torres, Hisense Organizations: Service, Privacy, Census Bureau, East, Federal Reserve Bank, Dallas, Trump, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, China Locations: Mexico, Canada, China, Wall, Silicon, US, Washington, Beijing
Mexico is now the US's top trade partner. Mexico surpassed China as the US's top manufacturing trade partner in 2023. In 2001, China joined the World Trade Organization, a group that grants members preferential tariffs when trading with one another. That access opened the door to China to become a leading trade and manufacturing hub, as the Dallas Fed pointed out. Mexico, for its part, benefits from increased trade with the US — beating out China in US trade volume means it's climbing on the world stage.
Persons: Luis Torres Organizations: Service, Dallas Fed, World Trade Organization, China, U.S, Dallas Locations: China, Mexico, Wall, Silicon, Washington, Beijing
Trade between the US and Mexico reached $263 billion during the first four months of this year. That pushed Mexico past China and Canada as the top trade partner since the start of the pandemic. China was the top partner for much of the 2010s and again at the start of the pandemic. Trade with Mexico accounted for 15.4% of all the goods exported and imported by the US, just ahead of America's trade totals with Canada (15.2%) and China (12.0%). Trucks carrying shipping containers line up as they are flagged for a secondary inspections at the Port of Manzanillo, Mexico.
Persons: Luis Torres, Donald Trump's, Torres, Nearshoring, Peter S, Goodman, Michael Burns, Salwan Georges, Shannon O'Neil's, Greg Rosalsky, O'Neil, Joe Biden, Antony Blinken, Xi Jinping, Janet Yellen, Xi, Yellen Organizations: Service, Federal Reserve Bank of, Canada, Dallas Fed, New York Times, Walmart, Murray Hill Group, Trucks, Washington, Getty, NPR Locations: Mexico, China, Canada, Wall, Silicon, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Pacific, Port, Manzanillo, USA, United States
Rep. Mayra Flores speaks at the University Draft House in McAllen, Texas, on Oct. 10. “I still believe at the end of the day this is still a solid, moderate Democratic region,” González said. A fighting chanceOf the three Latina Republicans running, Mónica De La Cruz, endorsed by former President Donald Trump and running in an adjacent congressional district, Texas' 15th, is considered the party's best chance to win. Soon after being sworn in to Congress, Flores voted against the landmark gun safety bill pushed through Congress by Sen. John Cornyn, the Texas Republican. Francisco Medrano Jr., of Harlingen, says he’s likely to support Republican Mayra Flores.
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